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JMT South of Devils Postpile Forecast: Odds of an Opening

Your odds of catching a JMT South of Devils Postpile availability opening in the window ahead: a band grounded in 5 weeks of our own scan history, not a guess.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for JMT South of Devils Postpile

Your chance of an opening in the window ahead, based on how often this permit has opened before.

Next 7 days

Moderate chance

40–50% chance

Next 14 days

Moderate chance

50–60% chance

Based on 5 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Sep 29, 2026.

JMT South of Devils Postpile forecast questions

What are the odds of catching a JMT South of Devils Postpile opening?

Right now our forecast puts the next 30 days at a moderate chance of catching at least one availability opening for JMT South of Devils Postpile, based on 5 weeks of our own scan history. It's a band. See how we calculate it on the methodology page.

How is the JMT South of Devils Postpile forecast calculated?

We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.

Is this a guarantee that JMT South of Devils Postpile will open up?

No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee. Set an alert and we'll tell you the moment a real opening is detected.