Wooden Shoe Canyon Forecast: Odds of an Opening
Your odds of catching a Wooden Shoe Canyon availability opening in the window ahead: a band grounded in 9 weeks of our own scan history, not a guess.
PermitCast forecast
Odds of an opening for Wooden Shoe Canyon
Your chance of an opening in the window ahead, based on how often this permit has opened before.
Next 7 days
Moderate chance
Next 14 days
Good chance
Next 30 days
Good chance
Based on 9 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Sep 29, 2026.
Wooden Shoe Canyon forecast questions
What are the odds of catching a Wooden Shoe Canyon opening?
Right now our forecast puts the next 30 days at a good chance of catching at least one availability opening for Wooden Shoe Canyon, based on 9 weeks of our own scan history. It's a band. See how we calculate it on the methodology page.
How is the Wooden Shoe Canyon forecast calculated?
We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.
Is this a guarantee that Wooden Shoe Canyon will open up?
No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee. Set an alert and we'll tell you the moment a real opening is detected.